Ottawa Senators
OTT · 8-11-1
3–4
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 10-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0819212329
VAN
1721014421
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 8-11-1 · VAN 10-6-3 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Canucks
The Senators created the better chances (3.2 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Linus Ullmark allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 21 shots on goal.
OTT 3.2 xG · 29 shots
VAN 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake DeBrusk · 1st 18:36 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 03:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Teddy Blueger · 2nd 09:23 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 13:01 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Kiefer Sherwood · 3rd 08:41 · 1–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 16:29 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 19:16 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 71.
OTT 71%VAN 29%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake DeBrusk · 1st 18:36 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 03:41 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Teddy Blueger · 2nd 09:23 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 13:01 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Kiefer Sherwood · 3rd 08:41 · GWG · 1–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 16:29 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 19:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.