Ottawa Senators
OTT · 11-12-2
2–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 10-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11401315232
DET
080418120
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 11-12-2 · DET 10-12-4 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (1.8 to 2.3 expected goals); the Senators won 2–1. Norris's winner came with 0:43 left. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 32 and 20 shots on goal.
OTT 1.8 xG · 32 shots
DET 2.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
0.3 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Norris · 1st 12:14 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 06:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Josh Norris · 3rd 19:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 41.
OTT 41%DET 59%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Norris · 1st 12:14 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 06:15 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Josh Norris · 3rd 19:17 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.