Ottawa Senators
OTT · 13-13-2
5–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 10-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
3191619534
ANA
01001616132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 13-13-2 · ANA 10-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Ducks
The Senators earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. John Gibson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
OTT 3.8 xG · 34 shots
ANA 1.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.1 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 02:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 11:15 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 18:25 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 10:30 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 08:58 · 5–0 · bat shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Cutter Gauthier · 3rd 12:42 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 78.
OTT 78%ANA 22%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 02:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 11:15 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 18:25 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 10:30 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 08:58 · PP · 5–0
Bat shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Cutter Gauthier · 3rd 12:42 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.