OTT
2–5
BUF
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 39-29-6
2–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-36-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01218115235
BUF
251829522
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–4
OTT 39-29-6 · BUF 32-36-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–4
Senators fell to the Sabres
The Senators created the better chances (3.4 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Linus Ullmark allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
OTT 3.4 xG · 35 shots
BUF 2.2 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 08:38 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 11:51 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 12:36 · 0–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 13:46 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 09:59 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 10:22 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 17:21 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 68.
OTT 68%BUF 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 08:38 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 11:51 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 12:36 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 13:46 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 09:59 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 10:22 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 17:21 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
