Ottawa Senators
OTT · 43-30-6
5–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 39-31-9
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
21421119534
MTL
0521304222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–3
OTT 43-30-6 · MTL 39-31-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–3
Senators beat the Canadiens
The Senators earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Senators owned the 1st period, 1.7 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 22 shots on goal.
OTT 3.6 xG · 34 shots
MTL 2.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 00:28 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 04:18 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 01:05 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 02:26 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Drake Batherson · 2nd 14:14 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 15:32 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Shane Pinto · 3rd 17:44 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 71.
OTT 71%MTL 29%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 00:28 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 04:18 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 01:05 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 02:26 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Drake Batherson · 2nd 14:14 · 4–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 15:32 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Shane Pinto · 3rd 17:44 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.