Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-15-5
4–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 21-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
06215211432
WSH
2160716329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 19-15-5 · WSH 21-15-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Capitals
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Senators erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Greig's equalizer — and won 4–3. Logan Thompson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
OTT 2.8 xG · 32 shots
WSH 2.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 08:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 18:59 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nick Jensen · 2nd 07:42 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Ridly Greig · 2nd 19:31 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
David Perron · 3rd 02:47 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 15:53 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 17:38 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 64.
OTT 64%WSH 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 14 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 08:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 18:59 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nick Jensen · 2nd 07:42 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Ridly Greig · 2nd 19:31 · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
David Perron · 3rd 02:47 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 15:53 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 17:38 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:21
Alex Ovechkin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:16
Artem Zub· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:16
Artem Zub· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:16
Dylan Strome· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
14:25
Drake Batherson· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
14:25
Justin Sourdif· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:53
Nick Jensen· High-sticking
Strome scored on this power play
Minor
2
Ryan Leonard, Jakob Chychrun · Power play (Jensen, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:13
Nick Cousins· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:21
Connor McMichael· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:23
David Perron· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:41
Nick Cousins· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:41
Trevor van Riemsdyk· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:39
Matt Roy· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:21
Anthony Beauvillier· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Capitals power plays.