Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-15-5
4–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 15-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
192919427
WPG
1505113223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 20-15-5 · WPG 15-21-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.7 expected goals); the Senators won 4–2. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 23 shots on goal.
OTT 2.8 xG · 27 shots
WPG 2.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 12:08 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 15:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 05:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 15:50 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 10:10 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:28 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 52.
OTT 52%WPG 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 12:08 · SH · 0–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 15:03 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 05:56 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 15:50 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 10:10 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:28 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:20
Nick Cousins· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:33
Logan Stanley· Elbowing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:54
Jonathan Toews· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:09
Dylan DeMelo· Interference
Chabot scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:27
Artem Zub· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3
Nick Jensen, Ridly Greig · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Claude Giroux· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:07
Logan Stanley· Roughing removing opponents helmet
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:07
Logan Stanley· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
12:07
Brady Tkachuk· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:27
Artem Zub· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 2-for-5 on the power play and killed all 4 Jets power plays.