Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 7-9-5
1–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 11-7-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0708115130
PIT
2152905429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 7-9-5 · PIT 11-7-3 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Penguins
The Flyers were outchanced (3.4 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Carter Hart allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
PHI 1.6 xG · 30 shots
PIT 3.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.6
2nd
0.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Archibald · 1st 11:37 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 19:29 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 02:59 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 13:37 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 10:04 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 21.
PHI 21%PIT 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Archibald · 1st 11:37 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 19:29 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 02:59 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 13:37 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 10:04 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Nicolas Deslauriers, Travis Sanheim · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/8 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.