Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 8-11-5
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 14-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0902111122
TBL
1721713427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 8-11-5 · TBL 14-8-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers fell to the Lightning
The Flyers were outchanced (4.4 to 1.1 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Lightning owned the 2nd period, 2.8 to 0.1 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 1.1, on 27 and 22 shots on goal.
PHI 1.1 xG · 22 shots
TBL 4.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
0.1 · 2.8
3rd
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 16:02 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 07:55 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Ross Colton · 2nd 19:56 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Ian Cole · 3rd 09:19 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 11:23 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 7.
PHI 7%TBL 93%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 16:02 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 07:55 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Ross Colton · 2nd 19:56 · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Ian Cole · 3rd 09:19 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 11:23 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.