PIT
7–2
NYR
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-1
7–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 1-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
114516111741
NYR
1811105224
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Penguins lead the series 3–1
PIT 3-1 · NYR 1-3 · Game 4 — the Penguins lead the series 3–1
Penguins beat the Rangers
The Penguins earned it: 5.4 expected goals to 1.1, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Igor Shesterkin allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 1.1, on 41 and 24 shots on goal.
PIT 5.4 xG · 41 shots
NYR 1.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.7 · 0.5
3rd
1.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 02:06 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 11:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
3
Mike Matheson · 2nd 03:14 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 03:38 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mark Friedman · 2nd 11:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Adam Fox · 2nd 14:04 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Danton Heinen · 2nd 18:53 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jeff Carter · 2nd 19:28 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 12:22 · 7–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 96.
PIT 96%NYR 4%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 02:06 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 11:17 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
3
Mike Matheson · 2nd 03:14 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 03:38 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mark Friedman · 2nd 11:22 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Adam Fox · 2nd 14:04 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Danton Heinen · 2nd 18:53 · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jeff Carter · 2nd 19:28 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 12:22 · 7–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/30 saves · 6 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
