PIT
3–5
NYR
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-3
3–5
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
21311308334
NYR
01231828538
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
PIT 3-3 · NYR 3-3 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Penguins fell to the Rangers
The Penguins let a 2–0 lead get away: the Rangers came back with five unanswered goals — Zibanejad's equalizer — and won 3–5. Louis Domingue allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 34 and 38 shots on goal.
PIT 2.5 xG · 34 shots
NYR 2.8 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jeff Carter · 1st 14:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 15:48 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 05:05 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 06:21 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Chris Kreider · 2nd 13:48 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
6
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 16:36 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 18:32 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:33 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 45.
PIT 45%NYR 55%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jeff Carter · 1st 14:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 15:48 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 05:05 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 06:21 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Chris Kreider · 2nd 13:48 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
6
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 16:36 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 18:32 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
