PIT
3–4
CAR
Final / OT · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 19-9-5
3–4
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 21-6-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
191611200327
CAR
2801111611436
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
PIT 19-9-5 · CAR 21-6-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–3
Penguins fell to the Hurricanes
The Penguins were outchanced (4.0 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Slavin's goal. The Hurricanes owned the 3rd period, 2.1 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 2.6 xG · 27 shots
CAR 4.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 2.1
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 17:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Martin Necas · 1st 17:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 18:00 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brock McGinn · 2nd 19:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Bryan Rust · 3rd 12:55 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 15:34 · 3–3 · wrap around shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Jaccob Slavin · OT 00:23 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 30.
PIT 30%CAR 70%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 17:28 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Martin Necas · 1st 17:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 18:00 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brock McGinn · 2nd 19:15 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Bryan Rust · 3rd 12:55 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 15:34 · 3–3
Wrap around shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Jaccob Slavin · OT 00:23 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
