Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 19-10-6
4–5
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 15-11-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
412090802431
DET
01421621412546
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 19-10-6 · DET 15-11-7 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Red Wings
The Penguins let a 4–0 lead get away: the Red Wings came back with five unanswered goals — Perron's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Walman's goal. Ville Husso allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.4, on 46 and 31 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 31 shots
DET 4.5 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.6
OT
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 02:36 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jeff Carter · 1st 10:15 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jason Zucker · 1st 14:15 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jason Zucker · 1st 19:27 · 4–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:17 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 14:32 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jonatan Berggren · 3rd 15:00 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
David Perron · 3rd 16:52 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jake Walman · OT 02:13 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 35.
PIT 35%DET 65%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 02:36 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jeff Carter · 1st 10:15 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jason Zucker · 1st 14:15 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jason Zucker · 1st 19:27 · PP · 4–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 07:17 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 14:32 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jonatan Berggren · 3rd 15:00 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
David Perron · 3rd 16:52 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jake Walman · OT 02:13 · GWG · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
41/46 saves · 5 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/19 saves · 0 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.