PIT
4–3
WSH
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 36-27-10
4–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 34-32-8
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
013215212440
WSH
09014311334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
PIT 36-27-10 · WSH 34-32-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
Penguins beat the Capitals
Chances were even (4.5 to 4.6 expected goals); the Penguins won 4–3. Malkin's winner came with 1:20 left. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.5 expected goals to 4.6, on 40 and 34 shots on goal.
PIT 4.5 xG · 40 shots
WSH 4.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 1.1
2nd
1.6 · 1.9
3rd
1.3 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 10:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Chad Ruhwedel · 2nd 12:17 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 00:27 · 3–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 05:19 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 13:18 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Dylan Strome · 3rd 17:16 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 18:40 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 50.
PIT 50%WSH 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Poehling · 2nd 10:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Chad Ruhwedel · 2nd 12:17 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 00:27 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 05:19 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 13:18 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Dylan Strome · 3rd 17:16 · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 18:40 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
