Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 19-15-4
1–3
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 17-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
017012112141
BUF
1801529332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
PIT 19-15-4 · BUF 17-19-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
Penguins fell to the Sabres
The Penguins created the better chances (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 41 and 32 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 41 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 02:53 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 07:49 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Zemgus Girgensons · 3rd 15:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 18:24 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 64.
PIT 64%BUF 36%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 02:53 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 07:49 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Zemgus Girgensons · 3rd 15:22 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 18:24 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
40/41 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.