Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 17-16-5
3–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 14-16-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
16120115341
NYI
06015210231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
PIT 17-16-5 · NYI 14-16-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
Penguins beat the Islanders
The Penguins earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, and a 3–2 win to show for it. The Penguins owned the 3rd period, 2.0 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 41 and 31 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 41 shots
NYI 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Beauvillier · 1st 03:54 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:36 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 06:57 · 3–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 12:59 · 3–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 16:10 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 65.
PIT 65%NYI 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Beauvillier · 1st 03:54 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:36 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 06:57 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 12:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 16:10 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.