Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 38-21-16
5–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 39-27-8
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
3141919532
DET
061908123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 3–0
PIT 38-21-16 · DET 39-27-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 3–0
Penguins beat the Red Wings
The Penguins earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–1 win to show for it. John Gibson allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
PIT 4.2 xG · 32 shots
DET 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 04:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Mantha · 1st 08:34 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 18:02 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 03:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
5
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 12:23 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Noel Acciari · 3rd 12:09 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 76.
PIT 76%DET 24%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 04:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Mantha · 1st 08:34 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 18:02 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 03:17 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
5
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 12:23 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Noel Acciari · 3rd 12:09 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
12:04
Connor Dewar· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
12:04
Jacob Bernard-Docker· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:37
Ben Chiarot· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:12
Anthony Mantha· Hooking
Larkin scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:58
Samuel Girard· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:58
Lucas Raymond· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:23
Dylan Larkin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
13:31
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Penguins went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Red Wings power play.