San Jose Sharks
SJS · 18-33-12
3–8
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 31-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
22009112341
WSH
05415410830
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
SJS 18-33-12 · WSH 31-27-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sharks fell to the Capitals
The Sharks let a 2–0 lead get away: the Capitals came back with 8 unanswered goals — Aube-Kubel's equalizer — and won 3–8. Kaapo Kahkonen allowed 5.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sharks created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 41 and 30 shots on goal.
SJS 3.7 xG · 41 shots
WSH 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tomas Hertl · 1st 12:03 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Alexander Barabanov · 1st 15:30 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Craig Smith · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 11:30 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matt Irwin · 2nd 15:28 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Craig Smith · 2nd 19:02 · 2–4 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 05:50 · 2–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
8
Nico Sturm · 3rd 09:02 · 3–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:11 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:05 · 3–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
11
Dylan Strome · 3rd 17:30 · 3–8 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 60.
SJS 60%WSH 40%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tomas Hertl · 1st 12:03 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Alexander Barabanov · 1st 15:30 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Craig Smith · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 11:30 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matt Irwin · 2nd 15:28 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Craig Smith · 2nd 19:02 · GWG · 2–4
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 05:50 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
8
Nico Sturm · 3rd 09:02 · 3–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:11 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:05 · 3–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
11
Dylan Strome · 3rd 17:30 · 3–8
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Gabriel Carlsson, Nicolas Aube-Kubel · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/30 saves · 8 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 5.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.