Seattle Kraken
SEA · 26-13-4
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 28-13-1
1ST2ND3RDT
SEA
0606111123
TBL
1150838431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Kraken trail the season series 0–2
SEA 26-13-4 · TBL 28-13-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Kraken trail the season series 0–2
Kraken fell to the Lightning
The Kraken were outchanced (2.5 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 1–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
SEA 1.5 xG · 23 shots
TBL 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 18:43 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Nick Paul · 3rd 06:44 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Vince Dunn · 3rd 10:44 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:21 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Victor Hedman · 3rd 19:16 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kraken win 31.
SEA 31%TBL 69%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 18:43 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Nick Paul · 3rd 06:44 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Vince Dunn · 3rd 10:44 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Victor Hedman · 3rd 19:16 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.