St. Louis Blues
STL · 1-2
1–5
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0140818130
MIN
212110211533
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Blues trail the series 1–2
STL 1-2 · MIN 2-1 · Game 3 — the Blues trail the series 1–2
Blues fell to the Wild
The Blues were outchanced (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 33 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 2.3 xG · 30 shots
MIN 3.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.9 · 1.9
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Greenway · 1st 00:39 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 02:18 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 07:44 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 00:22 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 02:17 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Jonas Brodin · 3rd 12:31 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 31.
STL 31%MIN 69%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Greenway · 1st 00:39 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 02:18 · GWG · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 07:44 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 00:22 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 02:17 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Jonas Brodin · 3rd 12:31 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.