STL
5–2
MIN
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 2-2
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1182729534
MIN
15013112230
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
STL 2-2 · MIN 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Blues beat the Wild
Chances were even (3.7 to 3.8 expected goals); the Blues won 5–2. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 3.8, on 34 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 3.7 xG · 34 shots
MIN 3.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.3 · 0.6
2nd
0.5 · 1.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 04:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 14:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
David Perron · 2nd 10:30 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 11:24 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 02:39 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
David Perron · 3rd 18:02 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 19:00 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 49.
STL 49%MIN 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 04:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 14:06 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
David Perron · 2nd 10:30 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 11:24 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 02:39 · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
David Perron · 3rd 18:02 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 19:00 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Ryan O'Reilly, Scott Perunovich · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
