St. Louis Blues
STL · 4-2
5–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1432112527
MIN
01005111126
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Blues lead the series 4–2
STL 4-2 · MIN 2-4 · Game 6 — the Blues lead the series 4–2
Blues beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Blues won 5–1. Cam Talbot allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
STL 2.5 xG · 27 shots
MIN 2.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.3
3rd
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Leddy · 1st 14:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:26 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Tyler Bozak · 2nd 13:25 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 18:36 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 06:25 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 3rd 18:19 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 58.
STL 58%MIN 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Leddy · 1st 14:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:26 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Tyler Bozak · 2nd 13:25 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 18:36 · PP · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 06:25 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 3rd 18:19 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.