St. Louis Blues
STL · 5-4
2–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
11311008231
COL
1102928527
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Blues trail the series 1–2
STL 5-4 · COL 6-1 · Game 3 — the Blues trail the series 1–2
Blues fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.2 expected goals); the Blues lost 2–5. Ville Husso allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
STL 2.5 xG · 31 shots
COL 2.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Colton Parayko · 1st 03:55 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Logan O'Connor · 1st 10:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 13:38 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 17:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 19:30 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 17:52 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:02 · 2–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 54.
STL 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Colton Parayko · 1st 03:55 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Logan O'Connor · 1st 10:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 13:38 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 17:15 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 19:30 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 17:52 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:02 · EN · 2–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.