St. Louis Blues
STL · 5-5
3–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1321205320
COL
01541329637
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Blues trail the series 1–3
STL 5-5 · COL 7-1 · Game 4 — the Blues trail the series 1–3
Blues fell to the Avalanche
The Blues were outchanced (2.5 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Ville Husso allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 37 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 1.7 xG · 20 shots
COL 2.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.2 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Perron · 1st 05:07 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Erik Johnson · 2nd 02:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 04:07 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Devon Toews · 2nd 04:26 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 07:37 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
David Perron · 2nd 17:02 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 19:27 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 09:38 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:58 · 3–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 36.
STL 36%COL 64%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Perron · 1st 05:07 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Erik Johnson · 2nd 02:44 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 04:07 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Devon Toews · 2nd 04:26 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 07:37 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
David Perron · 2nd 17:02 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 19:27 · PP · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 09:38 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 3–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.