STL
2–3
COL
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 6-6
2–3
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
171706220
COL
013113213339
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Blues trail the series 2–4
STL 6-6 · COL 8-2 · Game 6 — the Blues trail the series 2–4
Blues fell to the Avalanche
The Blues were outchanced (3.2 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Helm's winner came with 0:06 left. The Avalanche owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 39 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 1.4 xG · 20 shots
COL 3.2 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.8
3rd
0.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Faulk · 1st 19:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
J.T. Compher · 2nd 05:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 09:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 10:18 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Darren Helm · 3rd 19:54 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 20.
STL 20%COL 80%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Faulk · 1st 19:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
J.T. Compher · 2nd 05:19 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 09:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 10:18 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Darren Helm · 3rd 19:54 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
