St. Louis Blues
STL · 1-0-0
5–2
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 0-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1411338525
CBJ
0621306225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 1-0-0 · CBJ 0-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Blue Jackets
The Blues earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
STL 3.1 xG · 25 shots
CBJ 1.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.2
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 05:05 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 01:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 02:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Sean Kuraly · 2nd 02:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 10:43 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 11:03 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 18:29 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 75.
STL 75%CBJ 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 05:05 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 01:04 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 02:21 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Sean Kuraly · 2nd 02:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 10:43 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 11:03 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 18:29 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.