St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-5-0
1–5
FinalL
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 6-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0818012128
LAK
1741607530
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 3-5-0 · LAK 6-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Kings
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Blues lost 1–5. Jordan Binnington allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 28 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
LAK 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
3rd
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 13:12 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 03:44 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Anze Kopitar · 2nd 05:06 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 07:39 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 09:59 · 0–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 10:42 · 1–5 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 51.
STL 51%LAK 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 13:12 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 03:44 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Anze Kopitar · 2nd 05:06 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 07:39 · PP · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 09:59 · 0–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 10:42 · 1–5
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/11 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.