St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-6-0
2–5
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 7-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
110012112234
NYI
01341413530
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 3-6-0 · NYI 7-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Blues lost 2–5. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 2.8 xG · 34 shots
NYI 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 08:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 00:14 · 1–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Brock Nelson · 2nd 05:06 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Josh Bailey · 2nd 07:05 · 1–3 · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 2nd 10:18 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Robert Thomas · 3rd 08:40 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 18:28 · 2–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 47.
STL 47%NYI 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 08:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 00:14 · 1–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Brock Nelson · 2nd 05:06 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Josh Bailey · 2nd 07:05 · GWG · 1–3
Poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 2nd 10:18 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Robert Thomas · 3rd 08:40 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 2–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Ivan Barbashev, Vladimir Tarasenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–4
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.