St. Louis Blues
STL · 4-8-0
5–3
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 3-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1921826533
SJS
11111019330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 4-8-0 · SJS 3-9-3 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Sharks
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Blues won 5–3. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 33 and 30 shots on goal.
STL 3.3 xG · 33 shots
SJS 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Torey Krug · 1st 02:30 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Timo Meier · 1st 16:19 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 06:59 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 13:05 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Brandon Saad · 2nd 18:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Logan Couture · 3rd 01:26 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Calle Rosen · 3rd 08:20 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Noel Acciari · 3rd 19:41 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 54.
STL 54%SJS 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Torey Krug · 1st 02:30 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Timo Meier · 1st 16:19 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 06:59 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 13:05 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Brandon Saad · 2nd 18:08 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Logan Couture · 3rd 01:26 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Calle Rosen · 3rd 08:20 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Noel Acciari · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.