St. Louis Blues
STL · 9-8-0
6–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 5-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
21631315634
ANA
05114113232
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 9-8-0 · ANA 5-12-1 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Ducks
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Blues won 6–2. John Gibson allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
STL 2.9 xG · 34 shots
ANA 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noel Acciari · 1st 12:44 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 16:07 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 01:02 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 04:52 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Cam Fowler · 2nd 06:43 · 4–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Torey Krug · 2nd 08:44 · 5–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Adam Henrique · 3rd 08:41 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 15:28 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 56.
STL 56%ANA 44%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noel Acciari · 1st 12:44 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 16:07 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 01:02 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 04:52 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Cam Fowler · 2nd 06:43 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Torey Krug · 2nd 08:44 · PP · 5–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Adam Henrique · 3rd 08:41 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 15:28 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.