St. Louis Blues
STL · 11-11-0
1–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 13-6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0110815124
DAL
091837424
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 11-11-0 · DAL 13-6-4 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.2 expected goals); the Blues lost 1–4. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 24 and 24 shots on goal.
STL 2.3 xG · 24 shots
DAL 2.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 03:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 07:57 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Saad · 3rd 13:17 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jason Robertson · 3rd 15:54 · 1–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (24%)
5
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 17:25 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 52.
STL 52%DAL 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 03:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 07:57 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Saad · 3rd 13:17 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jason Robertson · 3rd 15:54 · 1–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (24%)
5
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 17:25 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.