STL
2–5
WPG
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 12-15-0
2–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 17-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
01019112231
WPG
1102525520
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 12-15-0 · WPG 17-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.0 expected goals); the Blues lost 2–5. Thomas Greiss allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 31 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 2.1 xG · 31 shots
WPG 2.0 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 15:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 00:27 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Blake Wheeler · 2nd 04:06 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Robert Thomas · 2nd 18:36 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 07:39 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Josh Leivo · 3rd 10:43 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 18:07 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 52.
STL 52%WPG 48%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 15:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 00:27 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Blake Wheeler · 2nd 04:06 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Robert Thomas · 2nd 18:36 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 07:39 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Josh Leivo · 3rd 10:43 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 18:07 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
