STL
4–5
TOR
Final / OT · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 16-16-3
4–5
Final / OTL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 22-7-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
11121111002434
TOR
2521701114537
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 16-16-3 · TOR 22-7-6 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Maple Leafs
The Blues were outchanced (4.4 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Nylander's goal. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 37 and 34 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 34 shots
TOR 4.4 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
OT
0.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Holl · 1st 03:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Calle Rosen · 1st 07:34 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 1st 19:03 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 05:26 · 1–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 07:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Justin Faulk · 2nd 09:30 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 15:16 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 05:13 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
William Nylander · OT 04:03 · 4–5 · backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 26.
STL 26%TOR 74%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Holl · 1st 03:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Calle Rosen · 1st 07:34 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 1st 19:03 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 05:26 · SH · 1–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 07:39 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Justin Faulk · 2nd 09:30 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 15:16 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 05:13 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
William Nylander · OT 04:03 · GWG · 4–5
Backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
6
Pavel Buchnevich, Vladimir Tarasenko · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
