STL
4–3
CGY
Final / OT · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 21-18-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 19-14-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
19092811427
CGY
2131120600331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
STL 21-18-3 · CGY 19-14-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
Blues beat the Flames
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Blues erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Kyrou's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Thomas's goal. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
STL 2.2 xG · 27 shots
CGY 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 03:50 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 13:44 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 1st 15:38 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 01:02 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
· 3rd 02:20 · 2–3 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 02:48 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Robert Thomas · OT 00:28 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 37.
STL 37%CGY 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 03:50 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 13:44 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 1st 15:38 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 01:02 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
· 3rd 02:20 · 2–3
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 02:48 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Robert Thomas · OT 00:28 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
