STL
1–4
CGY
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 21-19-3
1–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 20-14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0120915126
CGY
016112312440
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
STL 21-19-3 · CGY 20-14-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
Blues fell to the Flames
The Blues were outchanced (3.0 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Dan Vladar stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.1, on 40 and 26 shots on goal.
STL 2.1 xG · 26 shots
CGY 3.0 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 2nd 15:24 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 00:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dillon Dube · 3rd 10:50 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 16:04 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dillon Dube · 3rd 16:39 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 35.
STL 35%CGY 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 2nd 15:24 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 00:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dillon Dube · 3rd 10:50 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 16:04 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dillon Dube · 3rd 16:39 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
4
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
