STL
2–4
TBL
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 21-20-3
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 27-13-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1711107225
TBL
2921308430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 21-20-3 · TBL 27-13-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Lightning
The Blues were outchanced (3.0 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 2–4. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 30 and 25 shots on goal.
STL 2.0 xG · 25 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Pitlick · 1st 02:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 1st 12:22 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 16:43 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nick Perbix · 2nd 12:44 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 13:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Alex Killorn · 2nd 18:22 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 34.
STL 34%TBL 66%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Pitlick · 1st 02:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 1st 12:22 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 16:43 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nick Perbix · 2nd 12:44 · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 13:55 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Alex Killorn · 2nd 18:22 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
