St. Louis Blues
STL · 22-20-3
2–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-21-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
280408220
OTT
01119013133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 22-20-3 · OTT 19-21-3 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Senators
The Blues were outchanced (2.3 to 1.6 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 1.6 xG · 20 shots
OTT 2.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.2 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 05:30 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Noel Acciari · 1st 15:06 · 2–0 · poke shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 13:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 36.
STL 36%OTT 64%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 05:30 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Noel Acciari · 1st 15:06 · GWG · 2–0
Poke shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 13:52 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.