St. Louis Blues
STL · 23-20-3
5–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 21-18-6
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
01031528533
NSH
0121717226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
STL 23-20-3 · NSH 21-18-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
Blues beat the Predators
The Blues earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.9, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Juuse Saros allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
STL 3.6 xG · 33 shots
NSH 2.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 00:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Colton Sissons · 2nd 02:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Brandon Saad · 2nd 08:30 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 15:34 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 01:03 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 02:01 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 17:52 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 60.
STL 60%NSH 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 00:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Colton Sissons · 2nd 02:36 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Brandon Saad · 2nd 08:30 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 15:34 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 01:03 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 02:01 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 17:52 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
7
Alexandre Carrier, Tommy Novak · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5–2
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.