St. Louis Blues
STL · 23-21-3
3–5
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 14-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
011211110332
CHI
232817518
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
STL 23-21-3 · CHI 14-26-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–1
Blues fell to the Blackhawks
The Blues created the better chances (2.4 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Jordan Binnington allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 18 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 32 shots
CHI 1.8 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Dickinson · 1st 10:27 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Sam Lafferty · 1st 13:20 · 0–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
3
Reese Johnson · 2nd 02:00 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 02:54 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Andreas Athanasiou · 2nd 03:59 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 13:12 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nick Leddy · 3rd 09:15 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Max Domi · 3rd 16:01 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 60.
STL 60%CHI 40%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Dickinson · 1st 10:27 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Sam Lafferty · 1st 13:20 · SH · 0–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
3
Reese Johnson · 2nd 02:00 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 02:54 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Andreas Athanasiou · 2nd 03:59 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 13:12 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nick Leddy · 3rd 09:15 · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Max Domi · 3rd 16:01 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Colin Blackwell, MacKenzie Entwistle · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/11 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
3/7 saves · 4 GA · 0.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.