STL
3–5
BUF
Final · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 23-22-3
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 25-19-3
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
01028110328
BUF
31411215531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 23-22-3 · BUF 25-19-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.6 expected goals); the Blues lost 3–5. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 28 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 01:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 01:25 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Owen Power · 1st 09:07 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 01:10 · 0–4 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 04:33 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 07:56 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 00:47 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:00 · 3–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 47.
STL 47%BUF 53%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 01:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 01:25 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Owen Power · 1st 09:07 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 01:10 · GWG · 0–4
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 04:33 · 1–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 07:56 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 00:47 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 3–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
