St. Louis Blues
STL · 26-25-3
4–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 35-14-5
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
113212110435
NJD
11611307236
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
STL 26-25-3 · NJD 35-14-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues lead the season series 2–0
Blues beat the Devils
Chances were even (3.7 to 3.3 expected goals); the Blues won 4–2. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 36 shots on goal.
STL 3.7 xG · 35 shots
NJD 3.3 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.7
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 16:32 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Dawson Mercer · 1st 17:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 04:00 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 05:35 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Erik Haula · 2nd 08:32 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 11:42 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 56.
STL 56%NJD 44%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 16:32 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Dawson Mercer · 1st 17:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 04:00 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 05:35 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Erik Haula · 2nd 08:32 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 11:42 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.