St. Louis Blues
STL · 26-28-4
2–3
Final / OTL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 23-30-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
16170504222
VAN
01401121412341
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 26-28-4 · VAN 23-30-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues fell to the Canucks
The Blues let a 2–0 lead get away: the Canucks came back with three unanswered goals — Kuzmenko's equalizer with 0:29 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Pettersson's goal. The Canucks owned the 3rd period, 1.6 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 41 and 22 shots on goal.
STL 2.4 xG · 22 shots
VAN 3.7 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.6
OT
1.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexey Toropchenko · 1st 15:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Tyler Tucker · 2nd 06:45 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
J.T. Miller · 3rd 09:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Kuzmenko · 3rd 19:31 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Elias Pettersson · OT 04:45 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 31.
STL 31%VAN 69%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexey Toropchenko · 1st 15:29 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Tyler Tucker · 2nd 06:45 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
J.T. Miller · 3rd 09:08 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Kuzmenko · 3rd 19:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Elias Pettersson · OT 04:45 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.