St. Louis Blues
STL · 28-31-5
4–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 19-35-12
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1919212430
SJS
11511108234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
STL 28-31-5 · SJS 19-35-12 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues lead the season series 3–0
Blues beat the Sharks
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.1 expected goals); the Blues won 4–2. Kaapo Kahkonen allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 30 and 34 shots on goal.
STL 2.8 xG · 30 shots
SJS 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.3
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Karlsson · 1st 10:23 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Torey Krug · 1st 12:31 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
· 2nd 10:06 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 14:31 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jakub Vrana · 3rd 02:53 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Robert Thomas · 3rd 15:02 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 45.
STL 45%SJS 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Karlsson · 1st 10:23 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Torey Krug · 1st 12:31 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
· 2nd 10:06 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 14:31 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jakub Vrana · 3rd 02:53 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Robert Thomas · 3rd 15:02 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Pavel Buchnevich, Kasperi Kapanen · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.