St. Louis Blues
STL · 29-32-5
3–5
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 41-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
110112111333
VGK
15215211531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
STL 29-32-5 · VGK 41-20-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blues trail the season series 1–2
Blues fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.4 expected goals); the Blues lost 3–5. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 31 shots on goal.
STL 2.8 xG · 33 shots
VGK 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Karlsson · 1st 08:05 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jakub Vrana · 1st 13:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Michael Amadio · 2nd 02:10 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 15:19 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Tyler Pitlick · 3rd 03:41 · 3–3 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 05:23 · 3–4 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
8
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 19:53 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 56.
STL 56%VGK 44%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Karlsson · 1st 08:05 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jakub Vrana · 1st 13:26 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Michael Amadio · 2nd 02:10 · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 15:19 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Tyler Pitlick · 3rd 03:41 · 3–3
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 05:23 · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
8
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Pavel Dorofeyev, Reilly Smith · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.