St. Louis Blues
STL · 36-35-7
4–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-35-13
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
110212110432
PHI
0709218234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
STL 36-35-7 · PHI 29-35-13 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blues beat the Flyers
The Blues earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, and a 4–2 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 34 shots on goal.
STL 3.3 xG · 32 shots
PHI 2.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 05:53 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Tyler Pitlick · 2nd 05:04 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Justin Faulk · 2nd 08:26 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 05:51 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Morgan Frost · 3rd 11:43 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 19:28 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 59.
STL 59%PHI 41%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 05:53 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Tyler Pitlick · 2nd 05:04 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Justin Faulk · 2nd 08:26 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 05:51 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Morgan Frost · 3rd 11:43 · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.