St. Louis Blues
STL · 37-37-7
2–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 46-21-14
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
260606218
DAL
214313010537
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 37-37-7 · DAL 46-21-14 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Stars
The Blues were outchanced (3.5 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Joel Hofer allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 37 and 18 shots on goal.
STL 1.5 xG · 18 shots
DAL 3.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:49 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jakub Vrana · 1st 07:44 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 19:04 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Robert Thomas · 1st 19:40 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 04:48 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 05:36 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 19:17 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 19.
STL 19%DAL 81%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:49 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jakub Vrana · 1st 07:44 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 19:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Robert Thomas · 1st 19:40 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 04:48 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 05:36 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 19:17 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
1
Ryan Suter, Jamie Benn · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.