STL
4–2
PIT
Final · W
St. Louis Blues
STL · 2-1-1
4–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 2-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
182914421
PIT
111012110233
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 2-1-1 · PIT 2-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Penguins
The Blues were outchanced (4.1 to 3.5 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.5, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.
STL 3.5 xG · 21 shots
PIT 4.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd
1.5 · 1.4
3rd
1.0 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 09:33 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 19:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 05:39 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (51%)
4
Colton Parayko · 2nd 07:12 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Saad · 3rd 15:13 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Radim Zohorna · 3rd 16:27 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 42.
STL 42%PIT 58%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 09:33 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 19:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 05:39 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (51%)
4
Colton Parayko · 2nd 07:12 · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Saad · 3rd 15:13 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Radim Zohorna · 3rd 16:27 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Alexey Toropchenko, Oskar Sundqvist · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
