St. Louis Blues
STL · 4-4-1
4–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 6-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
011213211435
NJD
07111016134
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 4-4-1 · NJD 6-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Devils
The Blues were outchanced (3.4 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 35 shots on goal.
STL 2.3 xG · 35 shots
NJD 3.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd
0.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 07:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 09:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Curtis Lazar · 2nd 16:39 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 18:23 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:51 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 33.
STL 33%NJD 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 07:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 09:54 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Curtis Lazar · 2nd 16:39 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 18:23 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:51 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.