St. Louis Blues
STL · 5-5-1
2–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 6-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
1120614222
WPG
210117210537
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 5-5-1 · WPG 6-4-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Jets
The Blues were outchanced (3.0 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 22 shots on goal.
STL 1.8 xG · 22 shots
WPG 3.0 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Scheifele · 1st 08:44 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Neal Pionk · 1st 16:15 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Robert Thomas · 1st 16:55 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 04:34 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 01:02 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 08:08 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 17:32 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 29.
STL 29%WPG 71%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Scheifele · 1st 08:44 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Neal Pionk · 1st 16:15 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Robert Thomas · 1st 16:55 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 04:34 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 01:02 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 08:08 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 17:32 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.