St. Louis Blues
STL · 10-8-1
3–8
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 9-10-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
11918112339
NSH
31441318835
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 10-8-1 · NSH 9-10-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Predators
The Blues were outchanced (4.2 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 3–8. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 39 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 39 shots
NSH 4.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 06:57 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 07:25 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (50%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 1st 13:53 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 16:32 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Spencer Stastney · 2nd 02:45 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 04:46 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
7
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 06:00 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Robert Thomas · 2nd 10:17 · 2–6 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 17:29 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 05:23 · 3–7 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Kiefer Sherwood · 3rd 12:42 · 3–8 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 28.
STL 28%NSH 72%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 06:57 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 07:25 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (50%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 1st 13:53 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 16:32 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Spencer Stastney · 2nd 02:45 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 04:46 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
7
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 06:00 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Robert Thomas · 2nd 10:17 · 2–6
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 17:29 · 2–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 05:23 · PP · 3–7
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Kiefer Sherwood · 3rd 12:42 · 3–8
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.